ISSUE #2 DEC 20, 2025

We Added 1,000+ Predictions. Here is Who is Actually Winning.

The database just got a massive update. With fresh data comes a shuffled leaderboard, a new "Quiet Giant" of accuracy, and a serious reality check for some of the biggest names in finance.

🚨 Database Update

1,000+

New Entries Added

We spent the week scraping back-catalogs to ensure our sample sizes are statistically significant. The engine is now smarter, faster, and more ruthless.

PLTR & TSLA

Most Crowded Trades

The consensus for 2026 is forming. Palantir (14 mentions) and Tesla (11 mentions) are the top picks among creators. Be careful following the herd.

⚖️ The Skeptic's Leaderboard

Tom Nash

CURRENT ALPHA LEADER

Alpha

+159%

Sample Size

n=11

The Verdict: Impressive, but volatile. With only 11 calls tracked, this score is heavily skewed by high-beta tech stocks. We need to see more data before calling him a "Guru."

Stealth Wealth

MOST ACCURATE

Win Rate

70.3%

Sample Size

n=54

The Verdict: A statistical outlier. A 70% win rate over a sample size of 54 is significantly above the average. While this is currently the most consistent data point in our index, we will continue to track if this edge persists or regresses to the mean.

📉 The "Guru" Gap

Meet Kevin

Win Rate

35.48%

Total Alpha

-11.45%

Despite the massive production value and subscriber count, the data paints a different picture. A 35% win rate suggests that flipping a coin would currently yield better results than following these specific trade alerts.

The 2026 Outlook: A Warning

As we close out 2025, the "Market Outlook" videos are flooding YouTube. Our data shows a massive convergence on just a few names.

The most recommended stocks by "Top Creators" right now are PLTR, TSLA, and NVDA. When the "Smart Money" creates such a crowded trade, risk increases. If your entire 2026 thesis is built on the same three tickers everyone else is pumping, you aren't investing—you're momentum chasing.

Our advice? Before you rebalance your portfolio for the New Year based on a YouTuber's "Top 10 Stocks for 2026," check their 2025 scorecard on our dashboard first.

What's Coming Next?

We are listening to your feedback. Based on the community requests, we are building a Crypto vs. Stocks filter. You have asked to see if creators are better at predicting Bitcoin than they are at predicting the S&P 500. The early data suggests a massive divergence.

Expect that update on the dashboard next week.

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